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Discovery-Driven Planning

Also known as: DDP · Reverse Income Statement · Assumption Checklist

Plan ventures by the assumptions that must prove true, converting unknowns to knowledge at low cost.

For high-uncertainty initiatives, work backward from required profit (reverse income statement), list the assumptions that must hold, and stage spending to test the riskiest ones at planned checkpoints — preserving the option to redirect or shelve.

Core concepts

Reverse Income StatementAssumption ChecklistCheckpoints / Real Options

Best when

  • Launching into the unknown where a conventional plan is false precision
  • You want staged off-ramps built in

Watch-outs

  • Requires honesty about assumptions and willingness to kill projects